2004 popular vote totals12/29/2023 ![]() ![]() Then in 2020, Trump and Republicans were stunned when Biden managed a 0.2 percentage point win, earning 16 new blue electoral votes, and the fallout continues in court. In 2004, Bush conquered Georgia with a 16.6 percentage point blowout, while Trump won by a respectable 5.2 points in 2016. Its newly acquired battleground status illustrates the Republican Party’s vulnerability. Georgia in 2024 will garner even more money and media attention. In 2004, Bush won Virginia by a safe 8.2 percentage point margin, but in 2020 Biden won by an even safer 10.1 points. GOP presidential candidates dream about turning back the clock but wake up to face this daunting data: Where does the Republican Party go to replace those 34 electoral votes? Good question. Subsequently, four states totaling 32 electoral votes that contributed to Bush topping 270 in 2004 have since become GOP Electoral College “dropouts.” Starting in 2008, every Democratic presidential ticket has won the following states (with their 2024 electoral votes in parentheses): Virginia (13), Colorado (10), Nevada (6) and New Mexico (5). Bush won the popular vote 50.7 to 48.3 percent and the Electoral College vote 286 to 251. John Kerry (D-Mass.) in a demure, respectable campaign by today’s standards. ![]() To understand how this forthcoming non-celebratory 20th anniversary of continuous political loss manifested itself, let’s begin with notable 2004 state voting data and compare it to 2020 state results.īut first, the basic facts: Incumbent President George W. Moreover, the demeaning label “illegitimate president” can haunt a commander in chief who wins without the popular vote. In 2016, Donald Trump was elected president by winning only the Electoral College - a political fluke that he did not repeat in 2020. ![]()
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